Wednesday, March 14, 2018

Well Beyond Unnerving: The Poisoning of a British Citizen by Russian Agents

 
Photo Credit: Leader-Telegraph
The use of nerve agents against Russians-turned-citizens-of-democracies touches me personally.  In the mid-1980s, I served as the first Russian-speaking staff member and first Program Director at The Jamestown Foundation which worked to acculturate high-ranking Soviet and East European defectors into American society after their C.I.A debriefings. I was the point person for these brave men and women who lived under death sentences from the former USSR working to bring their insights to academics, policymakers, the press and concerned citizens by bringing forward their books, speeches, media appearances and Congressional testimonies.  As well, I worked with them to become United States citizens and live as openly and productively in our free society as possible for their circumstances and the realities of the Cold War.  We lost not one.  Now, at least in Europe, citizenship in a democracy is no longer an understood "hands off" to Russian operatives.  And the assassination methods are grotesque.  For the bigger picture of Putin's mob boss methods and crime syndicates, the following is a must read from Dr. Stephen J. Blank:
 
http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/from-russia-with-hate

Lisa Bernard is the President of SecuritySpeak, LLC, a consulting firm devoted to matters of security and crisis management. Experts in these areas offer briefings, talks and distinguished lectures to audiences of all types working to bring analyses and understanding of security matters to people in all walks of life. (203) 293-4741. www.SecuritySpeak.net. 





 

Friday, February 16, 2018

James Olson DECLASSIFIED: 90 Minutes with a Legend in CIA Clandestine Services




Last night in Waterbury, Connecticut, 350 seats filled with first responders, law enforcement and security professionals, FBI agents, members of the armed services, concerned citizens, educators, professors and students of government, political science, criminal justice and homeland security all gathered to hear James Olson, a "legend in clandestine services" as described by Robert Gates, former Director of Central Intelligence.  Mr. Olson, former Chief of Counterintelligence at the United States CIA, delivered Intelligence and the Terrorist Threat: How Far Have We Come Since 9/11? 

In a clever, three-part presentation, this spymaster turned master raconteur took his audience to a standing ovation with richly detailed and revealing "off-the-record" remarks, a robust Q&A session and a surprise third component of his time on stage that brought the house down.  With great podium presence, James Olson surveyed the nature of the terrorist threat to the United States from abroad and within.  With humility, his boyish charm and tremendous sense of humor, he made clear by examples the obscured yet pivotal contribution of intelligence gathering by clandestine agents.  He unveiled the exacting and multi-faceted training undergone by operatives of the CIA that prepares them in unimaginable ways for this unique path of public service that is anything but public.  Their careers  are hidden, inherently dangerous and typically unheralded. 

Impressive was how well James Olson knew his audience and seems to understand people in general.  His talk was chock-full of vivid anecdotes not only from his time in the field, but also from his own ongoing career and the unique challenges of marriage and parenting while stationed abroad for years under deep cover in service to our national security.  Heads were nodding and shaking in the audience throughout his formal talk.  His warmth and focus in informal chats before and following his podium time were meaningful to students, practitioners, faculty and a few fellow Cold Warriors who were delighted to reconnect.  I can see why James Olson is today a beloved lecturer on the art of espionage at Texas A&M University's Bush School of Government & Public Service.  He has my endorsement as one to invite to your firm, school or organization's next distinguished speaker series.

Thanks go to Post University whose student, Ben McKenna, took the lead with support from President Donald Mroz and Professor David Jannetty in hosting James Olson and securing the co-sponsorship of Brass Axe Capital, Crystal Rock, Holy Cross High School, Securitas, Powers Brennan Griffin, Triple Stitch, Post University Student Life and the Waterbury Police, Fire Department and PAL. 

Lisa Bernard is the President of SecuritySpeak, LLC, a consulting firm devoted to matters of security and crisis management. Experts in these areas offer briefings, talks and distinguished lectures to audiences of all types working to bring analyses and understanding of security matters to people in all walks of life. (203) 293-4741. www.SecuritySpeak.net. 

Wednesday, January 3, 2018

DEMOCRACY: Stories from the Long Road to Freedom by Condoleezza Rice, Earns its Place on the Permanent Bookshelf



DEMOCRACY: Stories from the Long Road to Freedom by Condoleezza Rice, 482 pp. published by Twelve, an imprint of Grand Central Publishing, May 2017. Hardcover ISBN: 978-1-4555-4018-1. Ebook ISBN: 978-1-4555-4019-8. Signed edition ISBN: 987-1-5387-5997-4. $35.00 U.S. Available on Amazon. 

Hands down, this is my choice for the 2017 contribution to our understanding and pursuit of security. Citizen, scholar, CEO or policymaker, this long lens survey of emergent, maturing and failed democracy in nine countries and regions across the world provides both food for thought and frames of reference for the numerous news alerts, political hiccups and trickles of information that come at us constantly.  If you want a handle on the conundrum of Russian democracy, it is yours in a chapter that is as compelling a read about personalities and proclivities as it is analytical and instructive.  If you are baffled by the paucity of official support for the ninety two percent of Kurds who voted for independence from Iraq in September 2017, Dr. Rice's chapter on the Middle East will provide you an appreciation for their catch-22 of competence, resources and geography.  And if you feel swept up in, or swept aside by, the divisiveness in American politics, the very first chapter makes the case that the perfection of democracy in the U.S. has consistently been inconsistent, imperfect, sometimes violent, rarely smooth and yet, remarkably stable for the institutions the Founders built.  In a word, there's something here for everyone and the organization of this comprehensive work makes for easy access to one's interests.



Within these 450+ pages is an appraisal of a concept articulated in four of Condoleezza Rice's compelling voices - as an authoritative analyst, advocate, raconteur and enthusiast.  Through her  scholarship at Stanford University and her empirical observations as U.S. National Security Advisor and U.S. Secretary of State, we see that there are elastic expressions of democracy beyond the American experience.  Democracy has taken hold across cultures and countries whose histories contain no hint of democratic philosophy or behavior.  We see the areas of the world where varying degrees, experiments, emulations and aspects of democracy as we know it are in progress; witness the 2010 elections in Iraq and the 2010 promulgation of a constitution in Kenya.  And we see how regional stability and security are enhanced for the presence of democratic nations.  On page 432, Dr. Rice declares

There is both a moral and practical case for democracy promotion.  In the long arc of history, we know that democracies don't fight each other.  The "democratic peace" is observable.  No one today is sorry that the United States helped build a democratic Germany and Japan after World War II.  Both had been aggressors against their neighbors and there was no guarantee that they would not be again.  Neither country had sustained experience with democracy and it took time  for institutions to take root.  But we stood alongside them, and now they help to form the foundation for international peace and prosperity.

There is a vitality about this work that grips us spiritually and emotionally as well as intellectually.  Portions read like a memoir as Condoleezza Rice's own journey is, in and of itself, a testament to the dynamics of American democracy - from her childhood in segregated Alabama, to her studies in the former Soviet Union, to her professorship at Stanford, to her service as the first black woman in the posts of U.S. National Security Advisor and U.S. Secretary of State.  And her personal passages inform her investigation.  Her keen assessments and the reality checks they suggest are present from the start.  On page ten she debunks what she refers to as "the myth of democratic culture" and asserts

No nationality or ethnic group lacks the DNA to come to terms with this paradox. Over the years, many people have tried to invoke "cultural explanations" to assert that some societies lack what it takes to establish or sustain democracy. But this a myth that has fallen to the reality of democracy's universal appeal ... It was once thought that Latin Americans were more suited for caudillos than presidents; that Africans were just too tribal; that Confucian values conflicted with the tenets of self-rule. Years before that Germans were thought to be too martial or too subservient, and - of course - the descendants of slaves were too "childlike" to care about the right to vote ... Those racist views are refuted by stable democracies in places as diverse as Chile, Ghana, South Korea and across Europe ....



Flowing through the brain food in this keeper are personal anecdotes that burrow deep into our hearts.  They remind us that there are real people behind the democratic institutions and the procedural outcomes that make news - human beings and their stories that tell the big picture of the progress for humanity that democracy alone nurtures and protects.  These anecdotes offer us reasons for patience and perspective on the timetable of democracy's progress.  From the Epilogue:

Years later, sitting in our first meeting with Prime Minister Tony Blair, I was heartened by something he said: "I look at the two of you and I ask whether this could happen in Great Britain. And I say, not just yet." He was referring to the African American secretary of state, Colin Powell, and the African American national security advisor, Condi Rice, sitting on either side of the president of the United States ... Blair was not the only one to notice. President Lula daSilva of Brazil talked to me about America's journey. "I wanted to be sure to have Afro-Brazilians in my cabinet," he said. Upon taking office, he named four to his cabinet, as well as the first to the Supreme Court ... These were times when America's own democratic journey sent a positive message ... And then there was Ben Franklin looking down on us from the magnificent portrait painted by David Martin in 1767. What would old Ben think of this? I thought silently as President Bush made remarks. Then, Ruth Bader Ginsburg - a Jewish woman and Supreme Court Justice - asked me to raise my hand. "I do solemnly swear to protect and defend the Constitution of the United States ....

In the United States, the 2016 elections were catalytic to fierce debates, demonstrations and revelations concerning the endurance, integrity and dependability of our American institutions of democracy.  In a post scriptum entitled "2016," Dr. Rice succinctly separates out the issues, concerns and trends in not only the U.S. but in other mature democracies.  In her characteristic humility and clarity she offers a compass for moving forward smartly and sensitively.  Whether you read this book in your professional stead or for your personal enrichment, "2016" is a solid place to start.

Lisa Bernard is the President of SecuritySpeak, LLC, a consulting firm devoted to matters of national, cyber and global security and crisis management. Experts in these areas offer briefings, talks and distinguished lectures to audiences of all types working to bring unbiased analyses and understanding of security matters to people in all walks of life. (203) 293-4741. www.SecuritySpeak.net. 

Friday, October 20, 2017

Russian Ventriloquism: Are You a Dummy Puppet for Russian Propaganda?

 
 
As American media pile-on to place former President George W. Bush's address in an "anti Trump" framework, critical lines from it echo in my mind: "[T]he Russian government has made a project of turning Americans against each other.  This effort is broad, systematic and stealthy.  It's conducted across a range of social media platforms...."  For a sense of how this Russian campaign has made skillful and sustained use of Twitter, Facebook and Instagram, inter alia, to interfere in our democratic practices and national narratives, visit SecuringDemocracy.org and be certain to visit the "Hamilton 68 Dashboard."  Russian interference in our 2016 elections is just the tip of the iceberg and the Alliance for Securing Democracy is carefully monitoring this campaign in the Russian war on the United States in particular and democracies more broadly.  Whatever our politics, it behooves us to smarten-up when "Following," "Liking," "re-Tweeting" and "Sharing" on social media because it simply isn't just "social" any more. 
 
 


Thursday, October 5, 2017

Ground Zero: North Korea as the First Rogue Member of the Nuclear Club - An Interview with Dr. Paul Bracken, Leading International Security Strategist


Amid natural disasters of unprecedented magnitude, a man-made nightmare lurks in the North Korean nuclear program.   Not given to drama, exaggeration or panic, it was my mission to reality-check my understanding of the threat Kim Jong Un’s arsenal and his intentions pose to the stability of the North Korean Peninsula, the vulnerability of our allies South Korea and Japan, and the security of the west coast of the United States.  To this end, I interviewed Dr. Paul Bracken, author of the The Dynamics of the Second Nuclear Age:  Strategy, Dangers and the New Power Politics and Fire in the East: The Rise of Asian Military Power and the Second Nuclear Age and The Command and Control of Nuclear Forces.   Paul Bracken’s assessments are distinctly comprehensive.  He holds a B.S. in Engineering from Columbia University and a Ph.D. in Operations Research from Yale University.   A Professor of Political Science and Operations Management, his grasp of the technology, history, players and politics – and the interplay of them all – is second to none.  War gaming under conditions of stress and uncertainty is what Paul Bracken does for private industry and the United States military.  What the games reveal about human nature, conflict escalation, and exogenous factors that alter strategic plans is surprising, sobering and instructive.  The following are excerpts from our talk.
BERNARD: Seismic tests support the North Korean claim that it tested a hydrogen bomb, however "sniffers" - the aircraft that fly through debris - have not detected radiation levels consistent with such a nuclear explosion.  How much of this claim is hype from North Korean State Media? 
 
BERNARD:  Earlier in 2017 you reasoned that Kim Jong Un would make the development of an H-bomb a top priority.  Suddenly, within just months, that goal may well have been realized.  What accounts for the lightening-pace of the North Korean nuclear program? 

 
BERNARD:  Of the nine states in the world that are nuclear-armed, North Korea is the one over which analysts and practitioners of foreign policy are losing sleep.  What is so troubling here?

BERNARD:  Citizens voice their worries about the rhetoric coming from President Trump towards Kim Jong Un during this crisis.  What do you make of the President's remarks? 
BERNARD:  We've seen the Trump administration's management of this challenge via the United Nations and the U.S. Congress with economic sanctions and through Secretary of State Tillerson's talks with Chinese and Japanese leaders.  What would American leadership look like for this crisis and on nuclear (non) proliferation in general?

BERNARD: Where is the United States in terms of modernizing our aging nuclear arsenals and committing to strategic thinking and planning for this second nuclear age?

 
BERNARD:  As we wrap up, it feels befitting to share an excerpt of an interview I read at the outset of my research.  Asked about your first reaction to the ongoing dispute with North Korea you replied:  "Stanley Kubrick (Dr. Strangelove) had no imagination.  Five years ago (2011, as Obama was going to eliminate nuclear weapons from the world), if anyone said a nuclear poker game would play out between 'The Donald' and Kim Jong-un, no one - no one - would have believed it.  Well, here we are ...."  Thank you for your generosity with your time, candor and expertise.  

Paul Bracken is available for formal presentations and distinguished lectures via Lisa Bernard's SecuritySpeak, LLC.  (203) 293-4741.  LisaBernard@SecuritySpeak.net.  Learn more about him at www.SecuritySpeak.net.  
 




 


 
 
 
 
 
 

Monday, September 25, 2017

Weary of Myopic TV News Coverage of International Affairs? Welcome i24NEWS with Less Politics and More Reportage

Check out i24NEWS on Optimum TV or on the web at i24NEWS.tv.   Broadcasting in English, Arabic and French, this television news station covers global affairs with an emphasis on events across the Middle East.  I've noticed it covers stories unreported by other outlets and it's analysis segments DEBRIEF with Nurit Ben, and STRICTLY SECURITY with Barbara Opall-Rome, feature  experts with refreshingly frank, easy-to-understand and timely insights. 


 
 
 


Monday, September 11, 2017

Communications and Crisis Management in the Post 9/11 Period

Like many of you, I am deluged today by memories of September 11, 2001.  All my telephones ringing at once.  Neighborhood schools on lockdown.  Huddling on the couch with my family as we watched hours of mind-blowing and life-altering events unfold on television.  On television.  9/11 happened before the advent and ubiquity of social media.  It was pre-Facebook, pre-Twitter, pre-Instagram. 

Today, emergencies, crises and disasters - manmade or natural - occur with a panoply of media available to interlopers and bystanders.  Without a plan for media management and rules set forth by an organization's leadership well in advance, social media may interfere with or complicate life-saving efforts.  I share the wisdom of Bo Mitchell, President of 911 Consulting:

 

 
911 Consulting is the nation's leader in emergency planning and training for workplaces. Founder and President Bo Mitchell, CEM, CPP, CBCP, CAS, CSI-ML, HSEEP, MOAB, CHCM, CHSP, CHS-V, CSSM, CSHM, CFC, CIPS, CSC, CESCO, IAC, TFCT3, CERT, CMC, CHEP, served as Police Commissioner of Wilton, Connecticut for sixteen years.  He retired in 2001 to establish 911 Consulting with the mission to protect people at their workplaces during emergencies.