Friday, October 20, 2017

Russian Ventriloquism: Are You a Dummy Puppet for Russian Propaganda?

 
 
As American media pile-on to place former President George W. Bush's address in an "anti Trump" framework, critical lines from it echo in my mind: "[T]he Russian government has made a project of turning Americans against each other.  This effort is broad, systematic and stealthy.  It's conducted across a range of social media platforms...."  For a sense of how this Russian campaign has made skillful and sustained use of Twitter, Facebook and Instagram, inter alia, to interfere in our democratic practices and national narratives, visit SecuringDemocracy.org and be certain to visit the "Hamilton 68 Dashboard."  Russian interference in our 2016 elections is just the tip of the iceberg and the Alliance for Securing Democracy is carefully monitoring this campaign in the Russian war on the United States in particular and democracies more broadly.  Whatever our politics, it behooves us to smarten-up when "Following," "Liking," "re-Tweeting" and "Sharing" on social media because it simply isn't just "social" any more. 
 
 


Thursday, October 5, 2017

Ground Zero: North Korea as the First Rogue Member of the Nuclear Club - An Interview with Dr. Paul Bracken, Leading International Security Strategist


Amid natural disasters of unprecedented magnitude, a man-made nightmare lurks in the North Korean nuclear program.   Not given to drama, exaggeration or panic, it was my mission to reality-check my understanding of the threat Kim Jong Un’s arsenal and his intentions pose to the stability of the North Korean Peninsula, the vulnerability of our allies South Korea and Japan, and the security of the west coast of the United States.  To this end, I interviewed Dr. Paul Bracken, author of the The Dynamics of the Second Nuclear Age:  Strategy, Dangers and the New Power Politics and Fire in the East: The Rise of Asian Military Power and the Second Nuclear Age and The Command and Control of Nuclear Forces.   Paul Bracken’s assessments are distinctly comprehensive.  He holds a B.S. in Engineering from Columbia University and a Ph.D. in Operations Research from Yale University.   A Professor of Political Science and Operations Management, his grasp of the technology, history, players and politics – and the interplay of them all – is second to none.  War gaming under conditions of stress and uncertainty is what Paul Bracken does for private industry and the United States military.  What the games reveal about human nature, conflict escalation, and exogenous factors that alter strategic plans is surprising, sobering and instructive.  The following are excerpts from our talk.
BERNARD: Seismic tests support the North Korean claim that it tested a hydrogen bomb, however "sniffers" - the aircraft that fly through debris - have not detected radiation levels consistent with such a nuclear explosion.  How much of this claim is hype from North Korean State Media? 
 
BERNARD:  Earlier in 2017 you reasoned that Kim Jong Un would make the development of an H-bomb a top priority.  Suddenly, within just months, that goal may well have been realized.  What accounts for the lightening-pace of the North Korean nuclear program? 

 
BERNARD:  Of the nine states in the world that are nuclear-armed, North Korea is the one over which analysts and practitioners of foreign policy are losing sleep.  What is so troubling here?

BERNARD:  Citizens voice their worries about the rhetoric coming from President Trump towards Kim Jong Un during this crisis.  What do you make of the President's remarks? 
BERNARD:  We've seen the Trump administration's management of this challenge via the United Nations and the U.S. Congress with economic sanctions and through Secretary of State Tillerson's talks with Chinese and Japanese leaders.  What would American leadership look like for this crisis and on nuclear (non) proliferation in general?

BERNARD: Where is the United States in terms of modernizing our aging nuclear arsenals and committing to strategic thinking and planning for this second nuclear age?

 
BERNARD:  As we wrap up, it feels befitting to share an excerpt of an interview I read at the outset of my research.  Asked about your first reaction to the ongoing dispute with North Korea you replied:  "Stanley Kubrick (Dr. Strangelove) had no imagination.  Five years ago (2011, as Obama was going to eliminate nuclear weapons from the world), if anyone said a nuclear poker game would play out between 'The Donald' and Kim Jong-un, no one - no one - would have believed it.  Well, here we are ...."  Thank you for your generosity with your time, candor and expertise.  

Paul Bracken is available for formal presentations and distinguished lectures via Lisa Bernard's SecuritySpeak, LLC.  (203) 293-4741.  LisaBernard@SecuritySpeak.net.  Learn more about him at www.SecuritySpeak.net.  
 




 


 
 
 
 
 
 

Monday, September 25, 2017

Weary of Myopic TV News Coverage of International Affairs? Welcome i24NEWS with Less Politics and More Reportage

Check out i24NEWS on Optimum TV or on the web at i24NEWS.tv.   Broadcasting in English, Arabic and French, this television news station covers global affairs with an emphasis on events across the Middle East.  I've noticed it covers stories unreported by other outlets and it's analysis segments DEBRIEF with Nurit Ben, and STRICTLY SECURITY with Barbara Opall-Rome, feature  experts with refreshingly frank, easy-to-understand and timely insights. 


 
 
 


Monday, September 11, 2017

Communications and Crisis Management in the Post 9/11 Period

Like many of you, I am deluged today by memories of September 11, 2001.  All my telephones ringing at once.  Neighborhood schools on lockdown.  Huddling on the couch with my family as we watched hours of mind-blowing and life-altering events unfold on television.  On television.  9/11 happened before the advent and ubiquity of social media.  It was pre-Facebook, pre-Twitter, pre-Instagram. 

Today, emergencies, crises and disasters - manmade or natural - occur with a panoply of media available to interlopers and bystanders.  Without a plan for media management and rules set forth by an organization's leadership well in advance, social media may interfere with or complicate life-saving efforts.  I share the wisdom of Bo Mitchell, President of 911 Consulting:

 

 
911 Consulting is the nation's leader in emergency planning and training for workplaces. Founder and President Bo Mitchell, CEM, CPP, CBCP, CAS, CSI-ML, HSEEP, MOAB, CHCM, CHSP, CHS-V, CSSM, CSHM, CFC, CIPS, CSC, CESCO, IAC, TFCT3, CERT, CMC, CHEP, served as Police Commissioner of Wilton, Connecticut for sixteen years.  He retired in 2001 to establish 911 Consulting with the mission to protect people at their workplaces during emergencies.


Sunday, June 11, 2017

Talia Carner's HOTEL MOSCOW Earns its Place on the Permanent Bookshelf



ISBN 978-0-06-238859-9 from Harper Collins, New York, New York, 2015.  Available on Amazon, Barnes&Noble, Shop Indie Bookstores, and iTunes.

Authenticity and accuracy mark this work of historical fiction literally from chapter one.  As the protagonist, Brooke Fielding, arrives at Sheremetyevo  International Airport just north of Moscow, Russia in 1993, she confronts what many Jewish-Americans - and especially female Jewish-Americans - who have been through the security check recognize as "customs" lingering from the Soviet era.  "Speshiy iy zhdiy."  "Hurry up and wait." And while you're waiting, endure a hint of anti-Semitism, a measure of curiosity, a dash of chauvinism and a dose of intimidation.  That's just the beginning of this page-turner in which Talia Carner's gutsy and proactive heroine arrives as a citizen-diplomat to teach business skills to Russian women, turns accidental sleuth, and leaves fleeing for her life.  This 38 year-old, savvy New York executive lives a lifetime in a week's time as she is sucked into the maelstrom that Moscow became in October 1993 when, under Boris Yeltsin, the social order collapsed, a political revolt turned military, and economic dislocation pulverized any remaining sense of safety or security for Russian citizens.  Particularly vulnerable were Russian women - Brooke's charges, two of whom she finds herself befriending and defending against the misogyny of the culture and the excesses of a city gone lawless.  And in doing so, she finds herself learning what it means to be secure in one's identity while vulnerable in one's country of birth. 

Brooke winds up on the receiving end of a gut-wrenching education in the realities of domestic, professional and national life for Russian women.  No privacy at home.  Few to no amenities like bathing, restroom and laundry facilities and even scanter kitchen appliances, foodstuffs or cookware.  Antiquated sex education.  Severely limited access to routine healthcare and emergency medical attention.  And all these anvils on the shoulders of Russian women exacerbated by the scourge of alcoholism among Russian men that brought violence and sexual assault to women in their own homes just as the rise of mafia-like crime families brought plundering, murder and rape to their newly privatized factories and workplaces.  In the transition from the Soviet period was the utter absence of anything related to sustenance that women in modern times and first world countries might build on as foundations for their stability. 

If there was one sanctuary for Russian women, it was friendship, and Talia Carner's heroine embraces it.  Here too, the authenticity of this novel and setting are spot-on.  "Druzhba," as the Russians say, is the distinctly Russian brand of camaraderie and loyalty that binds as tight as DNA and runs deeper than compatibility or confluence of interests.  It's primal.  And it was as necessary as oxygen for survival in Moscow at that time.  It is through Brooke's friendships that we readers get a visceral sense of the resourcefulness, resilience and capacity for growth of Russian women in circumstances and conditions most Americans in 1993 wouldn't imagine let alone experience.  It is through the "druzhba" Brooke develops with two women, Svetlana and Olga, that her Jewish identity and Holocaust legacy are nuanced and ultimately defined.  And while the subject matter is disturbing, Talia Carner's elegant prose ushers us gracefully and tenderly through the most intimate thoughts and spaces these women occupy.  We are with this troika through their journey in and out of the euphoria that was the end of communism, the injustice of phantom anti-Semitism and the hazards of one-size-fits-all feminism. 

A "hotel" is a place of temporary lodging while on an expedition and HOTEL MOSCOW is aptly entitled.  For a time, Brooke Fielding and her Russian compatriots experienced the city of Moscow in which, arguably, all things magnificently and distinctly Russian are contained and most pronounced - like the set of matryoshka nesting dolls Olga presents to Brooke.  "'I want you to have this, another heirloom.  We are all products of our mothers, and carry their joys and sorrows inside us.'"  The women depart their journey forever connected and each wiser and more worldly for one another's legacies.  As Brooke says to Olga, "'I cherish that matryoshka you gave me.  It reminds me of you.  Strong, nurturing, traditional.  Women as the keepers of old values.'  With mist in her eyes, she added, 'Feminine.'"

Whatever your approach to matters of faith and feminism, pasts and futures, friendship and family, security and identity, HOTEL MOSCOW is jewel whose facets will throw light on your most personal reflections.













Tuesday, June 6, 2017

Take the Next 90 Seconds to Consider Your Safety, Security and Use of Social Media in a Crisis Situation

On the heels of the terrorist attack in London and the excellent piece, Think Before You Tweet in the Wake of an Attack at www.Wired.com, the words of Bo Mitchell, President of 911 Consulting and Former Police Commissioner in Wilton, Connecticut, are echoing in my head.  If you manage a facility, department or business, or if you work or recreate in one, his counsel will resonate with you and may well help you save your own life and the lives of others in an active shooter scenario, terrorist attack or natural disaster.  Here is an excerpt of my recent interview with him: 

 

To see more of Lisa Bernard's interview with Bo Mitchell visit www.SecuriITyBriefs.Blogspot.com.  To host Bo Mitchell at your next conference, telephone Lisa Bernard at (203) 293-4741 or email  LisaBernard@SecuritySpeak.net.

Saturday, June 3, 2017

Lights, Camera, Action: Two Angles on Vladimir Putin this Sunday, June 4, 2017, 7:00 p.m. E.T.


Photo Credit from StopFake.org
Heads up TV journalism fans and those concerned with American and Russian politics and relations. I urge you to view two broadcasts airing, ironically, in the same time slot on Sunday evening, June 4, 2017 at 7:00 p.m.  ET.  One is the venerable 60 Minutes (CBS) on which a story about the “mysterious attacks on the lives of Russian activists” will lead.  The other is Sunday Night with Megyn Kelly, (NBC), the premier episode, featuring the stalwart Megyn Kelly’s interview with Russian President Vladimir Putin.  As an American Independent (politically speaking) and a disciple of Realpolitik—particularly where Soviet-turned -Russian rulers are concerned—I  expect that the veneer of Vladimir Putin’s carefully constructed image and well-orchestrated public persona will be unglued before us on two fronts.   We as a nation need clarity on him, his means and his objectives in order to assess our own vulnerabilities and possibilities at this critical time in our still very young democracy’s trajectory. 
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/putin-critic-says-hes-one-of-the-lucky-ones-im-still-here/
http://www.nbcnews.com/video/sunday-megyn-kelly-s-one-on-one-with-russian-president-vladimir-putin-959185475684